I suppose the thing that would make me most happy would be for this to be a dinner table conversation at every home in the country…of course, maybe I’d settle for cocktail party discussion, since families rarely sit down to dinner together any more…
If you were in charge of a business that was struggling, you might look for ways to both improve revenues and cut costs. If you were in charge of Medicare, one of the first areas you would look at is end of life care costs. It is estimated some 2/3 of costs are accrued by those being treated in their final six months of life.
In other words, abdominal/pelvic CT scans looking for diverticulitis, treatment for osteopenia and osteoporosis, high blood pressure medications, total joint replacements and the like are of little consequence in the big picture of annual Medicare costs. The huge majority of costs are incurred by those who are terminal, which is defined as those being in their final six months of life.
Of course, the moment you start to investigate how to curb those costs, Sarah Palin and others will jump right out of their skin shouting: Rationing!! They would be correct. There is, however, NO way to have a solvent Medicare system without deciding some of the things which are done to/for terminal patients must no longer be done. Let me repeat that. In our system, with 2/3 of the costs acquired by treating terminal patients, there is NO way to control Medicare costs, which must be done, without deciding which things will and will not be done, i.e., rationing.
It is for this reason the Patient Safety and Affordable Care Act encourages physicians to have discussions about the end of life with their patients. This may be the sole plank of ObamaCare which actually makes any sense. In addition to giving patients a voice in what happens, it allows a path for physicians to have a discussion with patients and their families which is never eagerly anticipated by any of the parties.
But, it continues to be true that the easiest thing to do is to do “everything” for every patient, regardless of circumstances. It allows physicians to say to families: we did all we could. This is generally a comforting thing for families to hear and when families feel comforted, there are fewer subsequent lawsuits. This is a fact which the Obama administration fails to choose to recognize, though there can be no doubt of its validity. But, I digress.
It should be pointed out right here that it is not always known when someone is in their final six months of life, i.e., is terminal. Other times, when we might legitimately think someone is in that category, aggressive (or even non-aggressive) treatment produces survivorship significantly longer than one might have predicted. I have seen that many times and currently am attending several folks who would fall into that category.
Another thing I have observed in 30 some years of being party to these discussions, if families were to have to absorb some of those costs, which used to happen in Medicare’s earlier days, dear old dad, for whom they avow they would do anything, is going to be allowed to die with far fewer interventions on his “behalf.” The current system of Medicare has removed cost as a consideration for individual families, though cost considerations are certainly not a moot point for those paying the bills, i.e., taxpayers.
So, this is not going to be an easy fix for Medicare’s problems. But, The New England Journal of Medicine, in whose weekly Perspective column Obama administration ideas are often given a test flight, has begun to write more about so – called “futile medicine,” the application of efforts to extend not someone’s meaningful life, but, in fact, extend their period of demise. It is not known what savings ending “futile medicine” might bring for Medicare. It is not known how many would have their lives ended a few months (? or more) sooner than they might have.
But, we know one thing. End of life care is the biggest chunk of what is a simply unsustainable program and a national dialogue upon how we best deal with this fact is desirable. But, that can’t and won’t happen if someone’s reflex action to such an invitation to discussion is to stand up and scream “RATIONING!”
Sooner or later the cold mathematics of the situation will require we confront this conundrum. It would (? will) take great leadership and a near total absence of demagoguing for a meaningful conversation about this dilema to take place.
We are probably wise to begin ASAP…